Local Market Conditions

A Promising Sign?

by Midi on January 30, 2012

St Simons Island Real Estate Activity on the RiseA year ago,  if a buyer asked me about five listings that had fallen out of the MLS, upon closer inspection, I would have found that those five listings had all expired or had been withdrawn by the owner.  The other day, however, I looked into five listings for one of my buyers and discovered that two had recently sold, two were under contract and only one had been withdrawn by the seller.

To top things off… of the other five properties I tried to show the same buyer, two of them were actually under contract when I called to set up appointments.  That hasn’t happened in a long while.

There had been a time during the ‘boom’ when every other property I called on to show would be under contract – many agents don’t bother to change the status of the listing and let them appear ‘active’ when in fact they are pending sales but that’s another story.  More recently, any active listings I’d call to show were pretty much all available and the agents sounded relieved someone wanted to show it at all.

I firmly believe it is an indication that the market is changing and activity is on the rise.  Just last week while sitting on the panel of the Glynn County Board of Equalization, one of the county appraisers, in defending the value of a property under appeal, cited several noteable land sales in the West Glynn area of the county where during the ‘boom’ growth had been rampant, but since the collapse, things had come to a halt.  Hearing about all the land sales out there and then encountering the increased activity here on the Island makes me feel that things are definitely shifting.

I’ll pull some numbers and perhaps make some sort of graph for a future post soon… stay tuned!

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2011 Market Stats so far…

by Midi on September 28, 2011

Spoke at the Kiwanis Club of Brunswick’s luncheon yesterday on behalf of the Golden Isles Association of REALTORS® and of course, the topic was real estate and what’s going on.  Thought I’d share the numbers here.

Essentially, I was looking more at activity versus prices – which I’ll get to later.  Here is a ten year activity trend and you can see for the Mainland where activity peaked and where we stand now.  It’s a bit tight but the main green line below tells the tale…

St Simons Island, Brunswick Real Estate Sales Trend

As you can see, activity peaked in 2006 then dropped drastically in 2008 / 2009 with the market’s near total collapse at the end of 2008 – can anyone say TARP?  Then, you can see the ups and downs more  normal for real estate though I bet you those ups and downs can be correlated with major economic news at the time.

Taking a look at St. Simons Island -

St Simons Island 10 Year Real Estate Market Activity Trend

The constant ups and downs are common on the Island where sales trends follow a seasonal path.  1st and 4th Quarter then to be quiet while the heavier tourist months tend to show picked up activity.  This is common of the second home/resort market.  But notice when the low hit… the low REALLY hit.

But if this tells you anything – it’s that both paint a clear picture that the bottom was hit at the end of 2008 and beginning of 2009 and things, despite the ups and downs, are going back up.

So far in 2011:

  • Single Family Sales  in Mainland Glynn is up 23.2%  with the average sale price down 16.8% to last year.
  • Single Family Sales  on St. Simons Island is up 14.2% with the average sale price down 3.1% to last year.
  • Condo sales on St. Simons Island is down 2.0% with the avergae sale price down 18.5% to last year.
Condos tend the be the heart of the resort/second home market and that is the area hardest hit by this economic downturn.  With uncertainty comes fear and with fear comes a natural reticence to splurge on ‘luxury’ things like… a second home.
Also – a good chunk of what’s selling right now – almost 70% of sales – is bank-owned – which means it has been foreclosed upon.   Much of those foreclosed properties have been sloughed off to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac from the originating banks – just take a look at our property records and you can see where banks, both local and national, have transferred deeds of ownership NOT to individual buyers but to Fannie and Freddie!  Well, Fannie and Freddie offer different incentives to buyers who would use the home as a primary residence versus a buyer who would use it as a second home or investment.
Of course, that’s all in an effort to ensure that the available properties go to support basic housing… but in  a market like ours that is mixed and reliant on second home sales… well, it’s not always the best deal.

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Looking back at the what’s sold in our market for the year so far and decided to investigate just what percentage of the properties being sold are bank-owned/foreclosures.  According to the Golden Isles Multiple Listing Service, 192 properties were sold in our market.  Of those 192, approximately 54% of them were bank owned properties.  37% were sold through ‘normal’ sellers and 9% were offered as a potential short sale (whether or not the short sale actually happened is not known).

Of the bank-owned properties, the average list price was about $220,526 and the average sale price was about $194,310 which is about 88.1% of asking price.  Regular sales ran about 90.4% of asking price while potential Short Sale properties ran closest to asking at 94.9% of list price. (See below)

 

Keep in mind that the average price of the bank owned properties is due to the fact that 40% of the bank owned properties were those  listed at or below $100,000 while only 18% of the regular transactions were on properties under $100,000.

Of the 192 transactions that closed since the new year, 130 of them were for properties on the mainland areas of Brunswick,Glynn,McIntosh,Camden and Brantley counties while St. Simons Island, Sea Island and Jekyll Island transactions represented only 32% of the real estate sold.

Stay tuned for more analysis as we near the end of the first quarter!

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Good Bye 2010 and Hello 2011

31 December 2010

I know a lot of folks in real estate are happy to see 2010 behind us… but viewing 2011 with a rather skeptical eye.  Me, I’ve been surprised to find that somewhere along the way, I’ve become an optimist.
I’m looking at 2011 with the belief that it will be a better year than 2010 was, [...]

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Latest Brunswick & St Simons Island Real Estate Stats

29 December 2010

2010 is over and here are some market statistics to carry you into the new year!  As you can see below, the number of transactions for the most part are up but prices have dropped slightly.  I believe  much of this is due to the fact that many buyers are in a foreclosure frenzy – [...]

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Real Estate Stats for St Simons Island

23 September 2010

Some year to date numbers for anyone interested in what’s happening with St Simons Island real estate.

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Real Estate Activity for Brunswick/St Simons Island Area

19 July 2010

Thought I begin posting weekly activity for the week from the information provided by The Golden Isles Multiple LIsting Service.  Hopefully, this will be a weekly posting so anyone interested in what’s happening with the market can get a quick snapshot each week here!
For the time period from 7/12 – 7/19:
New listings: 77

Average price of [...]

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Sign of the Times

20 November 2009

Looking back over 2009 so far, you can see some interesting trends in what is selling in the Golden Isles. I took a peek at mainland Brunswick and broke the sales figures down to seller controlled sales and other entity controlled sale (such as banks, asset management co, relocation) and the trend sort of [...]

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